Monday, December 14, 2009

I'm Clint Eastwood in his Mid-Twenties

Red Sox sign Mike Cameron. Two pills he pops 'til his pupils fill up like two pennies. Sox must be a big fan of leaded coffee, a repeat drug offender, one four-home run game and an otherwise disappointing baseball career.

The one game where he hit those four home runs, Cameron happened to be on my fantasy team. Maybe Theo Epstein learned from his lesson when judging Julio Lugo's career by seventy-three games with Tampa Bay in 2006. The way to more correctly judge players is by using even smaller sample sizes than 73 games. So to prove that Cameron is a good baseball player by taking into account one 4-home run game really is the way to go. If they are not judging Cameron by that four-homer game, they have very little other evidence to prove that he's worth $16 million over two years with Josh Reddick waiting in the wings.

Peter Abraham of the Globe said that the Red Sox' shift to defensive prowess as a way to build a successful baseball team is interesting. I find it interesting that Epstein is just 3-4 years behind Billy Beane's shift from OBP to defense.

For kicks and giggles, good defenders being the next generation of undervalued players (i.e. Moneyball 2.0) have yielded the following results for the Oakland Athletics:

2009: 75-87
2008: 75-86
2007: 76-86

More about Lackey in a bit.

1 comment:

TimC said...

...a young ass man with a trash can strapped to back of his so the rats can't chew through his last pants?

Granted, for Theo, he still has the rats in his corner. With very few exceptions, his move are met with anything ranging from general approval to mild disagreement from the gathered Boston media. It is a joke. Is this team rebuilding, contending, or just pulling random strategy moves out of a giant hat at Fenway?

It is nice to see Theo shifting his focus to defense- too bad it didn't happen with a position such as, say, CATCHER a year ago or maybe, say SHORTSTOP two weeks ago. The biggest problem with building through defense is that there is no statistical way to measure defense yet that I think is good enough for a major league team to justify spending millions of dollars. In my opinion, defense is misvalued- both over and under valued, in other words- and in a situation like that, targeting those players can be risky.